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surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316324
This paper studies the dynamics of unemployment (u) and its natural rate (u*), with u* measured by real-time estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312060
with a SVAR model by inspecting how unemployment responds to the state of the economy. We show that deviations from Okun …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079147
We study how unemployment affects the over-indebtedness of households using the new European Household Finance and … to country specific results, the role of unemployment varies widely across countries. In Spain, France or Portugal, for … households plagued by over-indebtedness increased by more than 10%, suggesting that another unemployment shock could have a major …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988621
smoothed transition regression (LSTR) model where possible threshold endogeneity is addressed based on copula theory. We also …-related variables accounts for changes (rises) in the Okun's parameter in the US in recent decades. Accordingly, the unemployment gap is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844617
supranational unemployment insurance scheme. The model is calibrated to the euro area's core and periphery and features a rich …-regional correlation of unemployment and inflation increases by up to 52% and 27%, respectively, compared to the decentralised setting. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830081
alternative monetary rules on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We use the inflation forecasts of 8 competing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777870
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783591
deviate from the strict inflation targeting since the policy maker faces a typical unemployment/inflation trade-off. In this … (hence the output gap) since the latter also depends on the evolution of unemployment. The matching frictions add a … matches. Hence optimal monetary policy features unemployment targeting along with inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317347
This paper describes how we constructed a real-time database for the euro area covering more than 200 series regularly published in the European Central Bank Monthly Bulletin, as made available ahead of publication to the Governing Council members before their first meeting of the month. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149408