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This paper addresses the mechanisms by which trade openness affects growth volatility. Using a diverse set of export … effect of trade openness on growth volatility. Indeed, the effect of openness on volatility is shown to be negative for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098217
output volatility. In this vein, our paper investigates whether exporting and export diversification at the firm level have … an effect on the output volatility of firms. We use large representative firm-level databases from Estonia, Hungary … higher volatility at the firm level. There is also evidence that this effect increased during the Great Recession due to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992414
This paper addresses the mechanisms by which trade openness affects growth volatility. Using a diverse set of export … effect of trade openness on growth volatility. Indeed, the effect of openness on volatility is shown to be negative for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605536
This paper shows that the explanation of the decline in the volatility of GDP growth since the mid-eighties is not the … decline in the volatility of exogenous shocks but rather a change in their propagation mechanism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316599
filtered using EGARCH specifications. The estimation results show that upgrades do not have significant effects on volatility …, but downgrades increase stock and bond market volatility. Contagion is present, with sovereign rating announcements … (increase) in volatility in other countries. The empirical results show also a financial gain and risk (value-at-risk) reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057674
I estimate the transmission of large global volatility shocks in international equity markets from the earlier (pre … significant increases in unanticipated volatility in US equity markets, which I relate to well-known historical events. My … significant and large economically. On average, global equity market valuations correct by about 20% in the month when a shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035639
, volatility has been historically higher and this has not changed in the last ten years. We also find that the aggregate euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316407
The curse of dimensionality, a problem associated with analyzing the interaction of a relatively large number of endogenous macroeconomic variables, is a prevailing issue in the open economy macro literature. The most common practise to mitigate this problem is to apply the so-called Small Open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038933
We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153261
This paper examines the usefulness of the Okun relationship as a “rule of thumb” for predicting changes in unemployment, as a result of changes in output. It argues that a disaggregated version of the Okun relationship - making use of the differential reaction of unemployment to changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043078