Showing 1 - 10 of 473
eurozone. My results also suggest that these shocks are a plausible source of aggregate risk that could explain business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918412
risk premium. As for the US, only a few predictors play an important role. In the case of the UK, future stock returns are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078196
We explore the dynamic effects of news about a future technology improvement which turns out ex post to be overoptimistic. We find that it is difficult to generate a boom-bust cycle (a period in which stock prices, consumption, investment and employment all rise and then crash) in response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316465
What are the economic implications of financial and uncertainty shocks? We show that financial shocks cause a decline in output and goods prices, while uncertainty shocks cause a decline in output and an increase in goods prices. In response to un-certainty shocks, firms increase their markups,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076665
This paper addresses the trade-off between additional loss-absorbing capacity and potentially higher bank risk … increase their risk-taking. This increase in risk-taking however, should be more than outweighed by the benefits of higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953806
In this paper we study the impact of shocks to global risk and global risk aversion (such as Lehman) as well as shocks … securities which are consistently safe haven assets, namely experiencing portfolio inflows when risk is on the rise or perceived … in certain risk measures. We also find that the role of US-based crises and risk shocks is special, with the US not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073628
I study rollover risk in the wholesale funding market when intermediaries can hold liquidity ex-ante and are subject to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056186
In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity in the euro area by using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019593
This paper studies the impact of cyclical systemic risk on future bank profitability for a large representative panel … risk predict large drops in the average bank-level return on assets (ROA) with a lead time of 3-5 years. Based on quantile … local projections we further show that the negative impact of cyclical systemic risk on the left tail of the future bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834322
This paper exploits a unique cross-country, firm-level survey to study the responses of European firms to the sharp demand and credit contraction triggered by the global Great Recession of 2009. The analysis reveals that cost reduction — particularly labour cost reduction through the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024781