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The purpose of this paper is to study the compensation for inflation risks priced in sovereign bond yields. And we do … for expected and unexpected inflation shocks embedded in sovereign bond yields; and provides estimates of the real risk …-free rate. We show that nominal sovereign bond yields for Germany, France, Japan and the United States, reflect, over the more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830326
captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term … structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and bond yields as well as risk premia are affine functions of the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316384
This paper investigates the power of macroeconomic factors to explain euro area bond risk premia using (i) a large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984568
estimates determinants of G7 sovereign bond spreads, using high‐frequency proxies for market expectations about macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086465
the euro area and in five major European economies. It also introduces a set of indicators for excess bond premia …, adjusting corporate bond spreads for credit risk of the issuer and the term, coupon and liquidity premia. I find that the … majority of macroeconomic indicators can be better predicted by the excess bond premia compared to non-adjusted indices; the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988612
Programme and sovereign bond quotes to address the endogeneity issues. We propose an econometric model that considers … interventions succeeded in reducing yields and volatility of government bond segments of the countries under the programme. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059119
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313733
This paper quantifies liquidity and credit premia in German and French government bond yields. For this purpose, we … markets. The results allow us to quantify the price impact of so-called “safe haven flows”, which strongly affected bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106056
Assessing the impact of the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) by the European Central Bank (ECB) on euro area sovereign yields is challenging, because the monetary policy announcement in January 2015 was already implicitly communicated to the market in the second half of 2014. Therefore, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984575
abroad, including inflow of capital to local sovereign bond markets and an increase in international comovement of term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315413