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This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months' time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132237
volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316627
following the auctions. This effect is stronger when market volatility is higher. We rationalize both findings using a simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956251
volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604905
Financial decision makers often consider the information in currency option valuations when making assessments about … future exchange rates. The purpose of this paper is to systematically assess the quality of option based volatility, interval … option prices. We find that the OTC implied volatilities explain a much larger share of the variation in realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604412
-factor market model. Second, we study whether both returns and volatility of bank stock prices changes upon the disclosure of stress … of stress tests provides new information to markets. Banks performing poorly in stress tests experience, on average, a … reduction in returns and an increase in volatility, while the reverse holds true for banks performing well. Banks performing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278311
following the auctions. This effect is stronger when market volatility is higher. We rationalize both findings using a simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804371
The financial crisis has highlighted the need for models that can identify counter-party risk exposures and shock … extend this accounting-based network of interlinked exposures to risk-based balance sheets which are sensitive to changes in … leverage and asset volatility. We conclude that the bilateral cross-sector exposures in the euro area financial system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153431
-varying consumption volatility risk is essential for obtaining the inversion of the real curve and allows to price the average level and …We propose a consumption-based model that allows for an inverted term structure of real and nominal risk-free rates. In … our framework the agent is subject to time-varying macroeconomic risk and interest rates at all maturities depend on her …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921898
production volatility, significantly increases the responsiveness of oil prices to oil shocks. This implies a lower price … volatility. Also the impact of oil shocks on economic activity appears to be significantly stronger in uncertain times …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065408