Showing 1 - 10 of 2,089
In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity in the euro area by using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019593
This paper studies the role of sticky prices for the monetary transmission mechanism, using disaggregated industry-level data from 205 US industries. There is substantial heterogeneity in the output responses of industries to monetary policy surprises. I show that an industry's response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315283
Using regionally disaggregated data on economic activity, we show that risk sharing plays a key role in shaping the … real effects of monetary policy. With weak risk sharing, monetary policy shocks trigger a strong and durable response in … output. With strong risk sharing, the response is attenuated, and output reverts to its initial level over the medium term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242298
, or "uncertainty shocks", are an important model ingredient. First, they account for countercyclical movements in risk … changes in both risk-premia and expected future real rates, uncertainty shocks account for about 1/2 of the variance of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870708
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065408
In terms of regulatory and economic capital, credit risk is the most significant risk faced by banks. We implement a … credit risk model - based on publicly available information - with the aim of developing a tool to monitor credit risk in a … sample of large and complex banking groups (LCBGs) in the EU. The results indicate varying credit risk profiles across these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605048
response to un-certainty shocks, firms increase their markups, in line with the theory of self-insurance against being stuck …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076665
What are the drivers of business cycle fluctuations? And how many are there? By documenting strong and predictable co-movement of real variables during the business cycle in a sample of advanced economies, we argue that most business cycle fluctuations are driven by one major factor. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956242
eurozone. My results also suggest that these shocks are a plausible source of aggregate risk that could explain business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918412
We examine, conditional on structural shocks, the macroeconomic performance of different countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) rules in small open economy estimated medium scale DSGE. We find that rules based on the credit gap create a trade-off between the stabilization of fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921203