Showing 1 - 10 of 2,571
This paper studies the effects of imperfect risk-sharing between lenders and borrowers on commercial property prices and leverage. The key friction is that agents use different discount rates to evaluate future flows. Eliminating this pecuniary externality generates large reductions in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231956
We quantify the impact that central bank refinancing operations and funding facilities had at reducing the banking … of Diamond & Dybvig (1983), banks’ default and contagion, and central bank funding. Our framework incorporates demand and … the amount of deposits covered by the deposit guarantee scheme and the borrowing from the European Central Bank (ECB). We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315230
This paper studies the long-run evolution of bank risk and its links to the macroeconomy. Using data for 17 advanced … economies, we show that the riskiness of bank assets declined materially between 1870 and 2016. But even though bank assets have … become safer, the losses on these assets are associated with increasingly large output gaps. Before 1945, bank asset returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405230
We propose the CoJPoD, a novel framework explicitly linking the cross-sectional and cyclical dimensions of systemic risk. In this framework, banking sector distress in the form of the joint probability of default of financial intermediaries (reflecting contagion from both direct and indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403523
This paper proposes a framework for deriving early-warning models with optimal out-of-sample forecasting properties and applies it to predicting distress in European banks. The main contributions of the paper are threefold. First, the paper introduces a conceptual framework to guide the process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315402
Recent research developed under the ECB research task force on Monetary Policy, Macroprudential Policy and Financial Stability highlights the existence of trade-offs and spillovers that monetary policy and macroprudential authorities face when deciding on their policy interventions. Monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013299245
This paper develops a DSGE model where banks use short-term deposits to provide firms with long-term credit. The demand for long-term credit arises because firms borrow in order to finance their capital stock which they only adjust at infrequent intervals. Within an RBC framework, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099027
I show that the detrending of financial variables with the Hodrick and Prescott (1981, 1997) (HP) and band-pass filters leads to spurious cycles. I find that distortions become especially severe when considering medium-term cycles, i.e., cycles that exceed the duration of regular business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923312
of the traditional bank business model. Specialized providers of financial services can chip away activities that do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829298
Drawing on a large sample of countries, this paper explores whether closer economic ties between countries foster business cycle synchronisation and disentangles the role of the various channels, including trade and financial linkages as well as the similarity in sectoral specialisation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128036