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This paper analyzes monetary policy in a model with a potential unanchoring of inflation expectations. The degree of unanchoring is given by how sensitively the public’s long-run inflation expectations respond to inflation surprises. I find that optimal policy moves the interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079837
learning, choosing among a set of alternative forecasting models. The analysis is accompanied by empirical evidence on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963942
Inflation targeting is implemented in different ways – most often by adopting point targets, by having tolerance bands around a point target, or by specifying target ranges. Using data for 20 economies, this paper tests whether the various target types affect the anchoring of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225749
Consumers’ inflation expectations play a key role in the monetary transmission mechanism. As such, it is crucial for monetary policymakers to understand what they are and how they are formed. In this paper we introduce the (un)certainty channel as means to shed light on some of the more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013302729
probability that a given consumer will make major purchases. Moreover, in line with the predictions of macroeconomic theory, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315386
We show that, when private sector expectations are determined in line with adaptive learning, optimal policy responds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317572
We study the redistributive effects of surprise inflation combining administrative bank data with an information provision experiment during an episode of historic inflation. On average, households are well-informed about prevailing inflation and are concerned about its impact on their wealth;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543616
rules from the learning viewpoint. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604173
We study alternative monetary policy strategies in the presence of the lower bound on nominal interest rates and a low equilibrium real rate using an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. We find that simple feedback rules that implement inflation targeting result in a binding lower bound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355956
Does the general public know what central banks do? Is this kind of knowledge relevant? Using a survey of Dutch households, we investigate these questions for the case of the European Central Bank (ECB). Our findings suggest that knowledge on the ECB’s objectives is far from perfect. Both a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605311