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returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models to produce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054678
speculative trading increases. As a result, market liquidity deteriorates and short-term volatility rises. Our findings hold for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868588
This paper empirically models China’s stock prices using conventional fundamentals: corporate earnings, risk-free interest rate, and a proxy for equity risk premium. It uses the estimated longrun stock price misalignments to date booms and busts, and analyses equity market reforms and excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316212
In this paper we examine the quantitative effects of margin regulation on volatility in asset markets. We consider a … of collateral constraints leads to strong excess volatility. Thus, a regulation of margin requirements may have … in the regulation of one class of assets may have only small effects on these assets' return volatility if investors have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051665
increase in anticipation of auctions of new issues and decrease after the auction, while no or a smaller such effect is present … is no auction, is very similar to the secondary-market behavior of the auctioned series. These findings support an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315717
This paper empirically models China’s stock prices using conventional fundamentals: corporate earnings, risk-free interest rate, and a proxy for equity risk premium. It uses the estimated longrun stock price misalignments to date booms and busts, and analyses equity market reforms and excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605236
following the auctions. This effect is stronger when market volatility is higher. We rationalize both findings using a simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956251
We assess the quantitative implications of collateral re-use on leverage, volatility, and welfare within an infinite … used to back more transactions. Re-use thus contributes to the buildup of leverage and significantly increases volatility … in financial markets. When introducing limits on re-use, we find that volatility is strictly decreasing as these limits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906352
-ask spread and increased volatility, while it left transaction volumes and returns substantially unaffected. Results are broadly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984218
We study the dynamics of a Lucas-tree model with finitely lived agents who "learn from experience." Individuals update expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits stochastic boom-and-bust fluctuations around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119137