Similar Search Results

Estimation of Linear Dynamic Panel Data Models with Time-Invariant Regressors

Kripfganz, Sebastian - 2015

We propose a two-stage estimation procedure to identify the effects of time-invariant regressors in a dynamic version of the Hausman-Taylor model. We first estimate the coefficients of the time-varying regressors and subsequently regress the first-stage residuals on the time-invariant regressors...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016951

Measuring inflation persistence: a structural time series approach

Dossche, Maarten; Everaert, Gerdie - 2005

Time series estimates of inflation persistence incur an upward bias if shifts in the inflation target of the central …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604541

Estimates of the open economy New Keynesian Phillips curve for euro area countries

Rumler, Fabio - 2005

This paper extends the existing literature on the open economy New Keynesian Phillips Curve by incorporating three different factors of production, domestic labor and imported as well as domestically produced intermediate goods, into a general model which nests existing closed economy and open...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604542

Modelling inflation in China - a regional perspective

Mehrotra, Aaron N.; Peltonen, Tuomas A.; Santos Rivera, … - 2007

We model provincial inflation in China during the reform period. In particular, we are interested in the ability of the hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) to capture the inflation process at the provincial level. The study highlights differences in inflation formation and shows that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604875

Disciplining Expectations and the Forward Guidance Puzzle

Müller, Tobias Fabian - 2020

Forward guidance operates via the expectations formation process of the agents in the economy. In standard quantitative macroeconomic models, the expectations are unobserved state variables and little scrutiny is devoted to analysing the dynamic behaviour of these expectations. We show that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830324

New Evidence on Elementary Index Bias

Gábor-Tóth, Eniko - 2014

compared with the Fisher Ideal index to quantify elementary index bias. Across product categories, mean levels of annual … elementary index bias vary between -0.53 percentage points and 0.55 percentage points depending on the index, while the standard … average effect of elementary index bias on national inflation ranges from -0.45 to 0.45 percentage points depending on the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040610

VAR for VaR : Measuring Tail Dependence Using Multivariate Regression Quantiles

White, Jr., Halbert L. - 2015

This paper proposes methods for estimation and inference in multivariate, multi-quantile models. The theory can simultaneously accommodate models with multiple random variables, multiple confidence levels, and multiple lags of the associated quantiles. The proposed framework can be conveniently...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020592

Selecting Models with Judgment

Manganelli, Simone - 2021

A statistical decision rule incorporating judgment does not perform worse than a judgmental decision with a given probability. Under model misspecification, this probability is unknown. The best model is the least misspecified, as it is the one whose probability of underperforming the judgmental...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315396

Investigating Inflation Persistence Across Monetary Regimes

Benati, Luca - 2021

Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no persistence in Canada, Sweden and New Zealand, and estimates of the indexation parameter in hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curves are either equal to zero, or very low, in all...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316644

A Cointegration Model of Money and Wealth

Assenmacher, Katrin - 2020

Extending the data set used in Beyer (2009) from 2007 to 2017, we estimate I(1) and I(2) money demand models for euro area M3. We find that the elasticities in the money demand and the real wealth relations identified previously in Beyer (2009) have remained remarkably stable throughout the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844181