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A Quantitative Mirror on the Euribor Market Using Implied Probability Density Functions

de Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert - 2011

This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months' time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132237

Assessing the Compensation for Volatility Risk Implicit in Interest Rate Derivatives

Fornari, Fabio - 2021

volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316627

Is the corporate bond market forward looking?

Hilscher, Jens - 2007

This paper presents empirical evidence that the corporate bond market is forward looking with respect to volatility. I … use the Merton (1974) model to calculate a measure of implied volatility from corporate bond yield spreads. I find that … corporate bond transaction prices contain substantial information about future volatility: When predicting future volatility in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604846

Assessing the compensation for volatility risk implicit in interest rate derivatives

Fornari, Fabio - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604905

Balance Sheet Interlinkages and Macro-Financial Risk Analysis in the Euro Area

Castrén, Olli - 2009

leverage and asset volatility. We conclude that the bilateral cross-sector exposures in the euro area financial system … financial intermediaries playing a key role in the processes. High financial leverage and high asset volatility are found to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153431

Estimating the full effect of a partially anticipated event: A market-based approach applied to the case of TLTROIII

Mosk, Benjamin; Vassallo, Danilo - 2024

This paper presents an event-study methodology that combines market data and survey-based probabilities to infer the full effect of a policy decision, as seen through the lens of financial markets. The market reaction to an event's outcome reflects its surprise or announcement effect, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199444

Climate-linked bonds

Broeders, Dirk; Dimitrov, Daniel; Verhoeven, Niek - 2025

Climate-linked bonds, issued by governments and supranational organizations, are pivotal in advancing towards a net-zero economy. These bonds adjust their payoffs based on climate variables such as average temperature and greenhouse gas emissions, providing investors a hedge against long-term...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199518

The functional form of yield curves

Brousseau, Vincent - 2002

Yield curves built from liquid instruments tend to exhibit specific features, both in term of smoothness and in term of patterns. The paper presents empirical evidence that those liquid yiled curves frequently conform to a specific functional form. This specific functional form is predicted by a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604194

The pricing of risk in European credit and corporate bond markets

Berndt, Antje; Obreja, Iulian - 2007

This paper investigates the determinants of the default risk premia embedded in the European credit default swap spreads. Using a modified version of the intertemporal capital asset pricing model, we show that default risk premia represent compensation for bearing exposure to systematic risk and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604851

Imperfect predictability and mutual fund dynamics. How managers use predictors in changing systematic risk.

Amisano, Gianni; Savona, Roberto - 2008

Suppose a fund manager uses predictors in changing port-folio allocations over time. How does predictability translate into portfolio decisions? To answer this question we derive a new model within the Bayesian framework, where managers are assumed to modulate the systematic risk in part by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604927