Showing 1 - 10 of 266
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months' time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132237
This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146561
volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316627
This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605211
This paper presents empirical evidence that the corporate bond market is forward looking with respect to volatility. I … use the Merton (1974) model to calculate a measure of implied volatility from corporate bond yield spreads. I find that … corporate bond transaction prices contain substantial information about future volatility: When predicting future volatility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604846
volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604905
, we implement the mixture of log-normals model and a volatility-smoothing method. We discuss the time series behaviour of … second main observation is a significant spillover of volatility, as the implied volatility and kurtosis of the DAX RND are … mostly driven by the volatility of US stock prices. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604258
future exchange rates. The purpose of this paper is to systematically assess the quality of option based volatility, interval … option prices. We find that the OTC implied volatilities explain a much larger share of the variation in realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604412
-varying consumption volatility risk is essential for obtaining the inversion of the real curve and allows to price the average level and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921898
We assess whether the euro had an impact first on the degree of integration of European financial markets, and, second, on the euro area term structure. We propose two methodologies to measure integration: one relies on time-varying GARCH correlations, and the other one on a regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644