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Learning from Prices : Amplification and Business Fluctuations

Chahrour, Ryan - 2017

We provide a new theory of expectations-driven business cycles in which consumers' learning from prices dramatically alters the effects of aggregate shocks. Learning from prices causes changes in aggregate productivity to shift aggregate beliefs, generating positive price-quantity comovement....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956266

CBDC and Business Cycle Dynamics in a New Monetarist New Keynesian Model

Assenmacher, Katrin; Bitter, Lea; Ristiniemi, Annukka - 2023

To study implications of an interest-bearing CBDC on the economy, we integrate a New Monetarist-type decentralised market that explicitly accounts for the means-of-exchange function of bank deposits and CBDC into a New Keynesian model with financial frictions. The central bank influences the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354929

Business Cycle Dynamics Under Rational Inattention

Maćkowiak, Bartosz - 2011

We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with rational inattention by households and firms. Consumption responds slowly to interest rate changes because households decide to pay little attention to the real interest rate. Prices respond quickly to some shocks and slowly to other...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127486

Deflationary Financial Shocks and Inflationary Uncertainty Shocks : An SVAR Investigation

De Santis, Roberto A.; Van der Veken, Wouter - 2022

What are the economic implications of financial and uncertainty shocks? We show that financial shocks cause a decline in output and goods prices, while uncertainty shocks cause a decline in output and an increase in goods prices. In response to un-certainty shocks, firms increase their markups,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076665

Global Impacts of Us Monetary Policy Uncertainty Shocks

Lastauskas, Povilas; Minh, Anh - 2021

We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in the volatility of US monetary policy shocks. Specifically, we admit time-varying variances of local structural shocks from a stochastic volatility specification. By allowing for rich dynamic interaction between the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243822

Innocent Bystanders : How Foreign Uncertainty Shocks Harm Exporters

Taglioni, Daria - 2013

to excluding the post Lehman shock, suggesting that the trade response during the 2008-2009 crisis has been similar to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084364

Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Impact of Oil Shocks

Van Robays, Ine - 2014

This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065408

Foreign Investors and Risk Shocks : Seeking a Safe Haven or Running for the Exit?

Habib, Maurizio Michael - 2013

In this paper we study the impact of shocks to global risk and global risk aversion (such as Lehman) as well as shocks … securities which are consistently safe haven assets, namely experiencing portfolio inflows when risk is on the rise or perceived … in certain risk measures. We also find that the role of US-based crises and risk shocks is special, with the US not …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073628

Risk Sharing and Monetary Policy Transmission

Hauptmeier, Sebastian; Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; … - 2022

Using regionally disaggregated data on economic activity, we show that risk sharing plays a key role in shaping the … real effects of monetary policy. With weak risk sharing, monetary policy shocks trigger a strong and durable response in … output. With strong risk sharing, the response is attenuated, and output reverts to its initial level over the medium term …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242298

Uncertainty Shocks, Banking Frictions and Economic Activity

Bonciani, Dario - 2015

In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity in the euro area by using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019593