Showing 1 - 10 of 263
We propose a new approach to measuring the effect of unobservable private information or beliefs on volatility. Using … high-frequency intraday data, we estimate the volatility effect of a well identified shock on the volatility of the stock … that, as the publicly available information becomes stale, volatility effects and its persistence should increase, as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317418
. It shows that similar press releases generate less market volatility, but that more substantial textual changes after a … sequence of very similar statements lead to much larger volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962430
This paper explores the link between agent expectations and housing market dynamics. We focus on shifts in the fundamental driving forces of the economy that are anticipated by rational forward-looking agents, i.e. news shocks. Using Bayesian methods and U.S. data, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025023
filtered using EGARCH specifications. The estimation results show that upgrades do not have significant effects on volatility …, but downgrades increase stock and bond market volatility. Contagion is present, with sovereign rating announcements … (increase) in volatility in other countries. The empirical results show also a financial gain and risk (value-at-risk) reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057674
The literature documents a heterogeneous asset price response to macroeconomic news announcements: Some announcements have a strong impact on asset prices and others do not. In order to explain these differences, we estimate a novel measure of the intrinsic value of a macroeconomic announcement,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999415
During 2005-2006, the Chinese government implemented a reform aimed at eliminating the so-called non-tradable shares (NTS) typically held by the State or by politically connected institutional investors that were issued at the early stage of financial market development. Our analysis, based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125357
predicts that, the more time has elapsed since the latest release of an inflation report, market volatility should increase … more important role in aligning agents' information set, thus leading to a stronger volatility reduction. The empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157672
Assessing the impact of the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) by the European Central Bank (ECB) on euro area sovereign yields is challenging, because the monetary policy announcement in January 2015 was already implicitly communicated to the market in the second half of 2014. Therefore, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984575
We examine stock index and Treasury futures markets around releases of U.S. macroeconomic announcements. Seven out of 21 market-moving announcements show evidence of substantial informed trading before the official release time. Prices begin to move in the "correct" direction about 30 minutes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992424
A growing body of literature analyses the impact of news on companies’ equity prices. We add to this literature by showing that the transmission channel of news to prices differs across sectors. First, we disentangle sectoral equity prices into components of expected future earnings and equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314912