This paper studies the impact of cyclical systemic risk on future bank profitability for a large representative panel … risk predict large drops in the average bank-level return on assets (ROA) with a lead time of 3-5 years. Based on quantile … local projections we further show that the negative impact of cyclical systemic risk on the left tail of the future bank …

sovereign to corporate credit risk in Europe. A ten percent increase in sovereign credit risk raises corporate credit risk on … sovereign to corporate risk transfer …

In this paper, we analyse the effects of a shock to global financial uncertainty and risk aversion on real economic … higher levels of external debt, less developed financial sectors, and higher risk rating …

We study the optimal design of clearing systems. We analyze how counterparty risk should be allocated, whether traders … should be fully insured against that risk, and how moral hazard affects the optimal allocation of risk. The main advantage of … centralized clearing, as opposed to no or decentralized clearing, is the mutualization of risk. While mutualization fully insures …

We address the question to what extent a central bank can de-risk its balance sheet by unconventional monetary policy … operations. To this end, we propose a novel risk measurement framework to empirically study the time-variation in central bank … generated beneficial risk spill-overs across monetary policy operations, causing overall risk to be nonlinear in exposures. Some …

This paper develops a framework for the short-term modelling of market risk and shock propagation in the investment … in particular climate risk, with a first-of-its-kind dual view of transition and physical climate risk exposures at the … fund level. So far, while fund managers communicate more aggressively on their awareness of climate risk, it is still …

Using regionally disaggregated data on economic activity, we show that risk sharing plays a key role in shaping the … real effects of monetary policy. With weak risk sharing, monetary policy shocks trigger a strong and durable response in … output. With strong risk sharing, the response is attenuated, and output reverts to its initial level over the medium term …

Euro redenomination risk is the risk that a euro asset will be redenominated into a devalued legacy currency. We … propose a time-varying, country-specific market perception of intra-euro area redenomination risk measure, defined as the … and using Germany as benchmark, we show that the redenomination risk shocks, defined as the unexplained component of the …

This paper proposes a set of indicators relevant for the risk characteristics of covered bonds, as based on granular … cover pool and the payment structure. They offer unified risk metrics for the European covered bond universe, which ensures … granular risk indicators adds to the overall transparency of the market in the context of risk monitoring …