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This paper proposes a new econometric approach to disentangle two distinct response patterns of the yield curve to monetary policy announcements. Based on cojumps in intraday tick-data of a short and long term interest rate, we develop a day-wise test that detects the occurrence of a significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054677
Assessing the impact of the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) by the European Central Bank (ECB) on euro area sovereign yields is challenging, because the monetary policy announcement in January 2015 was already implicitly communicated to the market in the second half of 2014. Therefore, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984575
with time-varying loading coeffi cients and stochastic volatility, which allows for capturing changes in the pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963728
yielded a significant increase in the persistence and volatility of OIS spreads. We also find evidence of a declining trend in … the level and volatility of OIS spreads since December 2008, associated with ECB interest rate cuts and full allotment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106591
This study evaluates the macroeconomic effects of Outright Monetary Transaction (OMT) announcements by the European Central Bank (ECB). Using high-frequency data, we find that OMT announcements decreased the Italian and Spanish 2-year government bond yields by about 2 percentage points, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051170
. It shows that similar press releases generate less market volatility, but that more substantial textual changes after a … sequence of very similar statements lead to much larger volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962430
We estimate the effects of interest rate forward guidance (FG) using a parsimonious VAR, augmented with survey forecast data. The identification strategy of FG shocks via sign and zero restrictions is successfully tested by the recovery of true IRFs from simulated data. The identified shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314910
and the decline in yield volatility during the low-rate period better than a benchmark affine model. We estimate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963943
We trace the impact of the ECB's asset purchase programme (APP) on the sovereign yield curve. Exploiting granular information on sectoral asset holdings and ECB asset purchases, we construct a novel measure of the “free-float of duration risk” borne by price-sensitive investors. We include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866996
Using intra-day data, we assess the impact of the press release on euro area monetary data on the different segments of the euro area yield curve. For this purpose, we estimate a relation between the "news" or "surprise" in the released data for annual M3 growth and the move in the interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316901