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A Cointegration Model of Money and Wealth

Assenmacher, Katrin - 2020

Extending the data set used in Beyer (2009) from 2007 to 2017, we estimate I(1) and I(2) money demand models for euro area M3. We find that the elasticities in the money demand and the real wealth relations identified previously in Beyer (2009) have remained remarkably stable throughout the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844181

Bayesian Inference in Cointegrated VAR Models : With Applications to the Demand for Euro Area M3

Warne, Anders - 2021

The paper considers a Bayesian approach to the cointegrated VAR model with a uniform prior on the cointegration space …. Building on earlier work by Villani (2005b), where the posterior probability of the cointegration rank can be calculated … the marginal likelihood identity is used for calculating these probabilities, a point estimator of the cointegration space …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317369

Bayesian Analysis of Recursive SVAR Models with Overidentifying Restrictions

Kociecki, Andrzej - 2012

The paper provides a novel Bayesian methodological framework to estimate structural VAR (SVAR) models with recursive identification schemes that allows for the inclusion of over-identifying restrictions. The proposed framework enables the researcher to elicit the prior on the non-zero...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097952

The Impact of Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Shocks in Poland : Evidence from a Time-Varying VAR

Arratibel, Olga - 2014

-2012) in the Polish economy. The empirical findings show that: (1) output appears more responsive to an interest rate shock at … the beginning of our sample. Since 2000, absorbing this shock has become less costly in terms of output, notwithstanding … some reversal since the beginning of the global financial crisis. The exchange rate shock also has a time-varying effect on …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060040

The Identification of Dominant Macroeconomic Drivers : Coping with Confounding Shocks

Dieppe, Alistair; Francis, Neville; Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene - 2021

We address the identification of low-frequency macroeconomic shocks, such as technology, in Structural Vector Autoregressions. Whilst identification issues with long-run restrictions are well documented, we demonstrate that the recent attempt to overcome said issues using the Max-Share approach...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233715

Modelling loans to non-financial corporations in the euro area

Kok, Christoffer; Marqués-Ibáñez, David; Rossi, Carlotta - 2009

We model the determinants of loans to non-financial corporations in the euro area. Using the Johansen (1992) methodology, we identify three cointegrating relationships. These relationships are interpreted as the long-run loan demand, investment and loan supply equations. The short-run dynamics...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605035

A Stable Model for Euro Area Money Demand: Revisiting the Role of Wealth

Beyer, Andreas - 2009

In this paper we present an empirically stable money demand model for Euro area M3. We show that housing wealth is an important explanatory variable of long-run money demand that captures the trending behaviour of M3 velocity, in particular its shift in the first half of this decade. We show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605157