Showing 1 - 10 of 693
-form model, all identification approaches used in the literature yield qualitatively and quantitatively very similar results as … estimated or calibrated for alternative identification approaches. These differences also translate into uncertainty about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766572
-form model, all identification approaches used in the literature yield qualitatively and quantitatively very similar results as … estimated or calibrated for alternative identification approaches. These differences also translate into uncertainty about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604923
This paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending shocks and the fiscal transmission mechanism in the euro area for the period 1980-2008. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we investigate changes in the macroeconomic impact of government spending shocks using time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316199
We study fiscal behaviour and the sovereign yield curve in the U.S. and Germany in the period 1981:I-2009:IV. The latent factors, level, slope and curvature, obtained with the Kalman filter, are used in a VAR with macro and fiscal variables, controlling for financial stress conditions. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135491
The global financial crisis has lead to a renewed interest in discretionary fiscal stimulus. Advocates of discretionary measures emphasize that government spending can stimulate additional private spending — the Keynesian multiplier effect. Thus, we investigate whether the spending package...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136289
This paper investigates how expectations about future government spending affect the transmission of fiscal policy shocks. We study the effects of two different types of government spending shocks in the United States: (i) spending shocks that are accompanied by an expected reversal of public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122883
We study the impact of numerical expenditure rules on the propensity of governments to deviate from expenditure targets in response to surprises in cyclical conditions. Theoretical considerations suggest that due to political fragmentation in the budgetary process expenditure policy might be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146218
Small open economies within a monetary union have a limited range of stabilisation tools, as area-wide nominal interest and exchange rates do not respond to country-specific shocks. Such limitations imply that imbalances can be difficult to resolve. We assess the role that government spending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049189
In this paper, we propose a time-varying parameter VAR model with stochastic volatility which allows for estimation on data sampled at different frequencies. Our contribution is twofold. First, we extend the methodology developed by Cogley and Sargent (2005), and Primiceri (2005), to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013646
This paper provides empirical evidence showing that smaller countries tend to have more volatile government spending for a sample of 160 countries from 1960 to 2000. We argue that the larger size of a country decreases the volatility of government spending because it acts as an insurance against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770792