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Bayesian Inference in Cointegrated VAR Models : With Applications to the Demand for Euro Area M3
Warne, Anders - 2021
The paper considers a Bayesian approach to the cointegrated VAR model with a uniform prior on the cointegration space …. Building on earlier work by Villani (2005b), where the posterior probability of the cointegration rank can be calculated … the marginal likelihood identity is used for calculating these probabilities, a point estimator of the cointegration space …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317369
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Non-Linear Dynamics in the Euro Area Demand for M1
Calza, Alessandro; Zaghini, Andrea - 2021
This paper investigates possible non-linearities in the dynamics of the euro area demand for the narrow aggregate M1. A long-run money demand relationship is firstly estimated over a sample period covering the last three decades. While the parameters of the relationship are jointly stable, there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317661
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A Portfolio Demand Approach for Broad Money in the Euro Area
Jung, Alexander - 2016
The aim of the paper is to reassess the issue of money demand stability by estimating a portfolio demand approach for broad money M3 in the euro area covering the sample 1999 to 2013. The question is relevant, since in view of the massive shocks observed since the start of the financial crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987468
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Long-Run Money Demand in the New EU Member States with Exchange Rate Effects
Dreger, Christian; Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Roffia, Barbara - 2021
analysis in the new Member States of the European Union (EU) is conducted using panel cointegration methods. A well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317611
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Bayesian inference in cointegrated VAR models: with applications to the demand for euro area M3
Warne, Anders - 2006
The paper considers a Bayesian approach to the cointegrated VAR model with a uniform prior on the cointegration space …. Building on earlier work by Villani (2005b), where the posterior probability of the cointegration rank can be calculated … the marginal likelihood identity is used for calculating these probabilities, a point estimator of the cointegration space …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604738
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Long-run money demand in the new EU Member States with exchange rate effects
Dreger, Christian; Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Roffia, Barbara - 2006
analysis in the new Member States of the European Union (EU) is conducted using panel cointegration methods. A well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604674
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A Stable Model for Euro Area Money Demand: Revisiting the Role of Wealth
Beyer, Andreas - 2009
In this paper we present an empirically stable money demand model for Euro area M3. We show that housing wealth is an important explanatory variable of long-run money demand that captures the trending behaviour of M3 velocity, in particular its shift in the first half of this decade. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605157
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Does it Matter How Aggregates are Measured? The Case of Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in the Euro Area
Beyer, Andreas - 2010
impact on the cointegration properties in empirical modelling, the monetary model in Coenen &Vega (2001) based on fixed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149066
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A Stable Model for Euro Area Money Demand : Revisiting the Role of Wealth
Beyer, Andreas - 2009
In this paper we present an empirically stable money demand model for Euro area M3. We show that housing wealth is an important explanatory variable of long-run money demand that captures the trending behaviour of M3 velocity, in particular its shift in the first half of this decade. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155103
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A Cointegration Model of Money and Wealth
Assenmacher, Katrin - 2020
Extending the data set used in Beyer (2009) from 2007 to 2017, we estimate I(1) and I(2) money demand models for euro area M3. We find that the elasticities in the money demand and the real wealth relations identified previously in Beyer (2009) have remained remarkably stable throughout the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844181