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This paper analyzes monetary policy in a model with a potential unanchoring of inflation expectations. The degree of … unanchoring is given by how sensitively the public’s long-run inflation expectations respond to inflation surprises. I find that … inflation fluctuations when expectations are well-anchored. Furthermore, I estimate the model-implied relationship that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079837
While it has become clear that communication is a monetary policy tool for central banks, and extensive research has been conducted on central bank communication with financial markets, little is known so far on central bank communication with the general public. My research provides new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354162
. One major aim of this outreach is to guide inflation expectations; another is to ensure accountability and create trust … on the extent to which this new outreach does in fact affect inflation expectations and trust. On balance, we see some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079351
This paper examines whether central bank communication stabilises euro area inflation expectations through the … communication on the information demand of the public and ultimately on inflation expectations. Overall, this study shows that … website attention, as captured by search volumes of visitors, influences euro area inflation expectations. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227730
We show that the announcement of the ECB’s Strategy Review and the revision of its inflation target in summer 2021 went … persistent credibility gains, even after inflation increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254531
's ability to form realistic inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132595
A crucial but often ignored element of inflation expectations is the amount of perceived inflation risk. This paper …) using a new methodology. The main conclusion from our analysis is that, when monitoring inflation expectations, limiting … attention to a point prediction is not sufficient. The analysis of inflation expectations should take into account inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775829
find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF … and Consensus Economics compared to their counterparts that do not. The gains in forecast accuracy from incorporating … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324272
Assigning a discretionary central bank a mandate to stabilize an average inflation rate—rather than a period …-by-period inflation rate—increases welfare in a New Keynesian model with an occasionally binding lower bound on nominal interest rates … inflation targeting (AIT) is equivalent to price level targeting (PLT). However, AIT with a finite, but sufficiently long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836660
Press releases announcing and explaining monetary policy decisions play a critical role in the communication strategy of central banks. Due to their market-moving potential, it is particularly important how they are drafted. Often, central banks start from the previous statement, and update the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962430