Showing 1 - 10 of 231
This paper assesses the impact of weather shocks on inflation components in the four largest euro area economies. We … combine high-frequency weather data with monthly data on inflation and output growth within a set of Bayesian Vector Autore …-gressions which explicitly considers the seasonal dependence of the shock. Results suggest the presence of significant country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355983
We contribute to the debate surrounding central banks and climate change by investigating how extreme temperatures affect medium-term inflation, the primary objective of monetary policy. Using panel local projections for 48 advanced and emerging market economies (EMEs), we study the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311775
This paper presents first the estimation of a two-country DSGE model for the euro area and the rest-of-the-world including relevant oil-price channels. We then investigate the optimal resolution of the policy tradeoffs emanating from oil-price disturbances. Our simulations show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014213432
What are the economic implications of financial and uncertainty shocks? We show that financial shocks cause a decline in output and goods prices, while uncertainty shocks cause a decline in output and an increase in goods prices. In response to un-certainty shocks, firms increase their markups,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076665
This paper proposes a central fiscal capacity for the euro area that generates transfers in response to eurozone, country, and region-specific shocks. The main novelty of this fiscal capacity is that it allows a joint response to these three types of shocks within a single scheme. Based on NUTS3...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082970
We provide empirical evidence on banks' responses to shocks in wholesale funding, using data of 181 euro area banks over the period August 2007 to June 2013. Banks' adjustments of loan volumes and lending rates in response to funding liquidity shocks are analysed in a panel VAR framework. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998237
data on monetary policy shock estimates for 29 economies obtained from more than 280 monetary models in the literature …. Consistent with the predictions from our hypothesis we find: Monetary policy shock estimates obtained from New Keynesian DSGE … contamination is more severe for economies that are more susceptible to financial spillovers in the data; and the shock estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953383
economy, namely a demand shock and a shock to bank capital. The main findings of the paper are as follows: i) Impulse …-response analysis shows that in response to a shock to bank capital, banks boost capital ratios by reducing their relative exposure to …) Historical shock decomposition analysis shows that bank capital shocks have contributed to increasing capital ratios since the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953872
What are the drivers of business cycle fluctuations? And how many are there? By documenting strong and predictable co-movement of real variables during the business cycle in a sample of advanced economies, we argue that most business cycle fluctuations are driven by one major factor. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956242
We provide a new theory of expectations-driven business cycles in which consumers' learning from prices dramatically alters the effects of aggregate shocks. Learning from prices causes changes in aggregate productivity to shift aggregate beliefs, generating positive price-quantity comovement....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956266