This paper comments on the procyclicality of mortgage lending. By applying a framework for credit constraints along the lines of Kiyotaki and Moore (1997), the credit risk assessments underlying mortgage lending is shown to contain a potential regime shift. Depending on the relationship between...

Housing market analysis is normally rooted in one of two distinct modeling frameworks. Either in one where house prices are residually determined by changes in macroeconomic variables such as interest rates, wages, inflation, unemployment and the cost of construction. This approach ignores...