A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with endogenous defaults of firms is developed. Proposed mechanism of defaults is very flexible. It takes into account amount of assets owned by firms. It suggests that banks receive some payment from firm after default. The model is...

This article suggests new approach to approximation of moments of nonlinear DSGE models. These approximations are fast and accurate enough to use them for estimation of parameters of nonlinear DSGE models. A small financial DSGE model is repeatedly estimated by several approaches. Approximations...

A medium-scale nonlinear dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is estimated (54 variables, 29 state variables, 7 observed variables). The model includes a observed variable for stock market returns. The root-mean square error (RMSE) of the in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts is...

We build a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with five sectors (1 - mining; 2 - manufacturing; 3 - electricity, gas and water; 4 - trade, transport and communication; 5 - other). The model is estimated on 29 time-series of Russia statistical data. We analyse the out-of-sample...

This article compares properties of different non-linear Kalman filters: well-known Unscented Kalman filter (UKF), Central Difference Kalman Filter (CDKF) and unknown Quadratic Kalman filter (QKF). Small financial DSGE model is repeatedly estimated by maximum quasi-likelihood methods with...

In this paper, we make two contributions to the MSV literature. First, we propose two new MSV models that account for leverage effects. Second, we compare the small sample performances of Quasi Maximum Likelihood (QML) and Monte Carlo Likelihood (MCL) methods through Monte Carlo studies for...

This paper develops an axiomatic theory of an economic variable average growth rate (average rate of change) measurement. The structures that we obtain generalize the conventional measures for average rate of growth (such as the difference quotient, the continuously compounded growth rate, etc.)...

We consider the problem of finding a valid covariance matrix in the FX market given an initial non-PSD estimate of such a matrix. The standard no-arbitrage assumption implies additional linear constraints on such matrices, which automatically makes them singular. As a result, one cannot just...

A number of methods has already been proposed for creating a valid correlation matrix in finance. However, such methods do not normally take into account additional restrictions on matrix elements imposed by specific non-arbitrage conditions in some markets, e.g. foreign exchange (FX). I suggest...

In our paper, using Granger causality tests on data covering 1995-2011 we find that credit is an important source of money supply endogeneity in Russia, with the two distinct sources of money supply endogeneity present: the one in the sense of accommodationist approach (through state-controlled...