In the context of multivariate regression (MLR) and simultaneous equations (SE), it is well known that commonly employed asymptotic test criteria are seriously biased towards over-rejection. In this paper, we propose exact likelihood based tests for possibly nonlinear hypotheses on the...

We propose finite sample tests and confidence sets for models with unobserved and generated regressors as well as various models estimated by instrumental variables method. We study two distinct approaches for various models considered by Pagan (1984). The first one is an instrument substitution...

In this paper, we study the invariance properties of various test criteria which have been proposed for hypothesis testing in the context of incompletely specified models, such as models which are formulated in terms of estimating functions (Godambe, 1960) moment conditions and are estimated by...

In this paper, we propose finite-sample inference procedures for parametric econometric models whose likelihood function is intractable and require simulation-based estimation methods, like indirect inference (Gourieroux, Monfort and Renault, 1993) or the efficient method of moments (Gallant and...

Consumption is partly a social activity, yet most studies of consumer behavior treat households in isolation. We investigate familial relationships in consumption patterns using a sample of parents and their children from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. We find a positive and statistically...

It is now well known that standard asymptotic inference techniques for instrumental variable estimation perform very poorly in the presence of weak instruments. Specifically, standard asymptotic techniques give spuriously small standard errors, leading investigators to accept apparently tight...

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This paper proposes a new approach for detecting the number of structural breaks in a time series when estimation of the breaks is performed one at the time. We consider the case of shifts in the mean of a possibly nonlinear process, allowing for dependent and heterogeneous observations. This is...

New empirical evidence with regards to the effectiveness and efficiency of Chile's capital controls is provided here, based on more and better data on the range of controls and a broad assessment of their costs and benefits. The paper concludes that capital controls have been partially effective...

Survey studies on exchange rate expectations tend to reject the rational expectations hypothesis for longer horizons. Extrapolative, adaptive and regressive expectations have been tested as alternatives, usually rejecting static expectations. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the...