In this paper we extend some of Phillips's [4] results to nonlinear unobserved components models and develop a posterior odds ratio test of the unit root hypothesis based on flat and Jeffreys priors. In contrast to the analysis presented by Schotman and van Dijk [9], we utilize a nondegenerate...

In this paper we introduce a new method of projection-type inference and describe it in the context of two stage least squares–based split-sample inference on subsets of structural coefficients in a linear instrumental variables regression model. The use of the new method not only guards...