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Since 1970 nearly all-Mediterranean countries of the EC had undertaken measures to regulate their domestic market for ordinary wines, in the context of constant fall in domestic demand for that product. This paper provides an empirical modelling framework for understanding the effect on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556313
Smooth Transition GARCH and the Markov-Switching GARCH models. Simulation experiments reveal that information criteria and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755282
Estimation of GARCH models can be simplified by augmenting quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimation with variance … volatility equation and corresponding value-at-risk predictions. We find that most GARCH coefficients and associated predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755296
. After showing that the expectation of the sum of the estimates of the autoregressive coefficients of a GARCH(1,1) model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119104
In this paper, we develop a parametric test procedure for multiple horizon "Granger" causality and apply the procedure to the well established problem of determining causal patterns in aggregate monthly U.S. money and output. As opposed to most papers in the parametric causality literature, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119144
exhibiting leptokurtosis, asymmetry and conditional heteroskedasticity. It is based on a GARCH-type process driven by noncentral …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010421303
follow GARCH and stochastic volatility (SV). Under certain regularity conditions, we give asymptotic results for the … approximate maximum likelihood estimator for the GARMA-GARCH model. We discuss a Monte Carlo likelihood method for the GARMA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755341
We discuss several multivariate extensions of the Multiplicative Error Model to take into account dynamic interdependence and contemporaneously correlated innovations (vector MEM or vMEM). We suggest copula functions to link Gamma marginals of the innovations, in a specification where past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755372
properties of adaptive tail index estimators under the class of student-t marginal distribution functions including GARCH and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407899
factor models with GARCH dynamics (GARCH(1,1)-M, IGARCH(1,1)-M, Nonlinear Asymmetric GARCH(1,1)-M and Glosten …-Jagannathan-Runkle GARCH(1,1)-M) and three different distributions for the disturbances (Normal, Student's t and Generalized Error Distribution … compared with forecasts based on individual GARCH(1,1)-M models, static factor models, naive, random walk and exponential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407963