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The extraction of a common signal from a group of time series is generally obtained using variables recorded with the same frequency or transformed to have the same frequency (monthly, quarterly, etc.). The statistical literature has not paid a great deal of attention to this topic. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407970
Credible Granger-causality analysis appears to require post-sample inference, as it is well-known that in-sample fit can be a poor guide to actual forecasting effectiveness. However, post-sample model testing requires an often-consequential <em>a priori</em> partitioning of the data into an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011031448
This is an exploratory study that attempts to identify and provide empirical evidence on the possible determinants of the market capitalisation of the Harare Stock Exchange (HSE) with the view of understanding the development prospects of the HSE and other similar markets. The study used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119105
This survey reviews diverse academic production on compositional dynamic series analysis. Although time dimension of compositional series has been little investigated, this kind of data structure is widely available and utilized in social sciences research. This way, a review of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119206
It is well known that in a vector autoregressive (VAR) model Granger non-causality is characterized by a set of restrictions on the VAR coefficients. This characterization has been derived under the assumption of non-singularity of the covariance matrix of the innovations. This note shows that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011249490
We examine the ability of the simple linear-quadratic model under rational expectations to explain dynamic behaviour of aggregate Canadian imports. In contrast to authors of previous studies who examine dynamic behaviour using the LQ model, we estimate the structural parameters using the Euler...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407876
Accurate estimation of the dominant root of a stationary but persistent time series are required to determine the speed at which economic time series, such as real exchange rates or interest rates, adjust towards their mean values. In practice, accuracy is hampered by downward small- sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407881
An econometric methodology is developed for nonparametric estimation of concave production technologies. The methodology, bases on the priciple of maximum likelihood, uses entropic distance and concvex programming techniques to estimate production functions.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407883
El presente trabajo plantea un modelo estadístico flexible que captura paramétricamente la compleja condicionalidad y desvíos de normalidad que caracteriza a la estructura intertemporal de tasas de interés en la economía chilena entre los años 1992 y 2003. El modelo general consiste en una...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407885
According to the Mixture of Distributions Hypothesis (MDH), returns volatility and trading volume are driven by a common news arrival variable. Consequently, these two variables should be correlated. This paper extends, and to some extent, globalises the concept of a common information arrival...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407887