Showing 1 - 10 of 27
financial time series and use it to improve the short-term forecasts from GARCH models. We study different generalizations of … GARCH that allow for several time scales. On our holding sample, none of the considered models can fully exploit the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062571
. After showing that the expectation of the sum of the estimates of the autoregressive coefficients of a GARCH(1,1) model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119104
Modelling spot price behavior plays a key role in the electric- ity market, since this is the breeding engine for the activity in the corre- sponding forward and futures market: developers and generators (as well as traders) need to know how electricity prices behave, as their profitabil- ity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062555
long memory. This paper uses fractionally integrated GARCH (FIGARCH) to test and account for long memory. The analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407887
This papers finds evidence of fractional integration for a number of monthly ex post real interest rate series using the GPH semiparametric estimator on data from fourteen European countries and the US. However, we pose empirical questions on certain time series requirements that emerge from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407898
We consider processes with second order long range dependence resulting from heavy tailed durations. We refer to this phenomenon as duration- driven long range dependence (DDLRD), as opposed to the more widely studied linear long range dependence based on fractional differencing of an $iid$...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407934
We develop an ordinary least squares estimator of the long memory parameter from a fractionally integrated process that is an alternative to the Geweke Porter-Hudak estimator. Using the wavelet transform from a fractionally integrated process, we establish a log-linear relationship between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407950
We consider a common components model for multivariate fractional cointegration, in which the s=1 components have different memory parameters. The cointegrating rank is allowed to exceed 1. The true cointegrating vectors can be decomposed into orthogonal fractional cointegrating subspaces such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407953
The method proposed in this chapter is making use of the bispectrum transformation to estimate the level of integration of a fractionally integrated time series. Bispectrum ransformation transforms the series into a two dimensional frequency space, and thus has higher information content...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407981
bivariate Fractional Integrated GARCH-in-Mean models is preferred to Brunetti (2000) and Teyssière (1998) processes as indicated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556268