Previous empirical studies have suggested an ambiguous relationship between crude oil prices and exchange rates. In contrast to these studies, we explore the possibility of a non-linear relationship between oil prices and the Norwegian exchange rate. We reveal a negative relationship between oil...

Models in the literature on inflation targeting are mostly theoretical or calibrated, even though inflation targeting requires inflation forecasts. The motivation for this paper is therefore threefold: foremost we want to build an econometric model for forecasting inflation in Norway--one...

After a forecast failure, a respecification is usually necessary to account for the data "ex post", in which case there is a gain in knowledge as a result of the forecast failure. Using Norwegian consumption as an example, we show that the financial deregulation in the mid-1980s led to forecast...