The authors estimate a target zone model for three ERM exchange rates for 1983-86 and 1987-91 by the method of simulated moments, taking account of the continuous time specification by using daily data with the interruptions of holidays and weekends. Specification tests are unable to reject the...

This paper uses data from the British Household Panel Survey to investigate the duration of self-employment spells in Britain. The results suggest that 40 percent of self-employment ventures started since 1991 have not survived their first year in business. Evidence is produced showing that a...

This paper utilizes previously unpublished, weekly U.K. interest-rate data from the Bank of England to estimate and test a variety of alternative models of the term structure of interest rates. The rational expectations model is tested and rejected (using an extension of the Campbell-Shiller...

This paper presents and estimates a model of the demand for money which explicitly incorporates foward-looking behavior. A multiperiod, rational expectations, quadratic costs of adjustment problem is solved using the discrete time calculus of variations to yield a money demand equation which is...

The covered interest parity theorem states that the covered interest differential between two similar assets denominated in different currencies should be zero. This paper utilizes high-quality data recorded by the dealers at the Bank of England to test covered interest parity during certain...