The recent financial crisis resulted in a steep contraction in the domestic economy together with a sharp decline in inflation. The Phillips curve model of inflation argues that inflation should be negatively related to economic performance and this would seem to be a potential explanatory...

This Economic Letter examines the link between house price dynamics in Ireland during the recent housing boom and the composition of buyers in the market. The analysis provides information on the relative riskiness of different buyer types, a topic that has increased in importance with the...

This Letter provides an overview of Irish international banking statistics, which detail the international financial linkages of Irish banks. The complexity of the Irish banking system, in particular the role of the IFSC, poses challenges in interpreting these data. In order to illustrate some...

Between 2002 and 2008, there was a surge in foreign funding ows to the Irish banking system. This unprecedented increase in in ows was a key driver of the credit boom in Ireland. In the wake of the domestic banking and global nancial crises, the Irish banking system experienced a sharp decrease...

This note examines the longer term implications for Ireland of changes to EU budgetary rules embodied in the Fiscal Compact. On the basis of fiscal projections to 2015, it presents illustrative scenarios showing the on-going correction in the budgetary position post-2015 needed to support...

This Letter attempts to assess the potential impact of implementing the recently proposed proportionate loan-to-value ratio on the wider housing market. Using a dual micro and macro simulation strategy, we find evidence for some moderate negative impacts of the LTV cap on house prices and...

This Letter presents a simple indicator which can be used to monitor fragmentation in euro area sovereign bond markets. The indicator is a moving average cross-correlation of bond yield log returns between Germany and other euro area countries. We suggest that a lower correlation implies greater...

This Letter compiles information on central bank minutes from a number of sources. First, we look at the academic literature which suggests that central bank minutes can provide additional information above other forms of communication. Second, we make use of a comprehensive set of information...

The Central Bank of Ireland consultation paper on macro-prudential policy for residential real estate asked whether adequately insured mortgages should be exempt from the proposed loan-to-value (LTV) limit. An exemption for insured mortgages could alleviate the liquidity constraints associated...

The Central Bank recently published a Consultation document on macro-prudential policy for residential mortgage lending including limits on loan-to-value and loan-to-income ratios. The consultation process highlighted a number of potential implications of these measures for the housing market,...