Hutson, Mark; Joutz, Fred; Stekler, Herman - In: Economic Modelling 38 (2014) C, pp. 6-11
Using the Carlson and Parkin (1975) framework and employing the Pesaran–Timmermann (1992) Predictive Failure statistic, we evaluate several consensus forecast series from CESIfo's World Economic Survey. Several issues are examined related to interpreting qualitative survey responses. We define...