Showing 1 - 10 of 98
Using the methodology developed in Stock and Watson (2002a), this paper proposes to exploit the information that contains the factor loading to identify the countries sharing common factors. The proposal is illustrated by analyzing the relation with the international reference-cycle of a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048707
In this study we investigate the yield curve forecasting performance of Dynamic Nelson–Siegel Model (DNS), affine term … variables in forecasting the yield curve. We have reached numbers of important results: 1—Macroeconomic variables are very … useful in forecasting the yield curve. 2—The forecasting performances of the models depend on the period under review. 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048868
According to the growing “Google econometrics” literature, Google queries may help predict economic activity. The aim of our paper is to test whether these data can enhance predictions of youth unemployment in France.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048762
In the wake of the recent currency turmoil, the determinants of financial crises have come to the forefront of academic and policy debates. Applied to the MENA region, the objective of this article is to estimate the likely impact of the dynamics of liberalization on the financial stability. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048769
inflation forecasts. Our forecasting approach is based on extracting the factors from the subcomponents of the CPI at the … disaggregated price data improves forecasting performance. The forecasts of the factor models that extract the information from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573296
dataset is compiled for the Portuguese economy and its usefulness for nowcasting and short-term forecasting is investigated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116957
interest about forecasting such imminent threats for economic stability. In this paper we propose a novel hybrid forecasting … Vector Regression (SVR) methodology that originates from machine learning. We test the forecasting ability of the proposed …-of-sample forecasting. Finally, we argue that this new methodology can be used as an early warning system for forecasting sudden house price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190220
The increasing interest aroused by more advanced forecasting techniques, together with the requirement for more … evaluate the forecasting performance of neural modelling relative to that of time series methods at a regional level … compare the forecasting performance of linear models to that of nonlinear alternative approaches. Pre-processed official …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729816
ability to anticipate the output growth. For this purpose, we propose an extended MIDAS model that allows the forecasting of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729831
fault tolerance, as well as the potential for use in forecasting applications of economic growth. Furthermore, the ANN … forecasting system of economic growth with related application has been proposed, based on ANN. The results show that the Zhejiang …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048724