This paper develops a new method for incorporating uncertainty within a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The method involves incorporating uncertainty into the model by formulating different states of the world or paths that the economy may take. The risk then is that on one or more...

This paper examines the trade, FDI, and welfare impacts of (liberalizing) 9/11 security measures at the Canada–US border. First, the study provides econometric estimates of the impact of post 9/11 security measures on bilateral (US–Canada) trade flows. Second, we compute sectoral tariff...

The model presented here is an estimated medium-scale New Multi-Country Model (NMCM) which covers the five largest euro area countries and is used for forecasting and scenario analysis at the European Central Bank. The model has a tight theoretical structure which allows for non-unitary...

Cost-sharing policies for higher education have been implemented in several countries in various ways. We argue that to assess their appropriateness and facilitate their implementation it is necessary to develop statistical indicators of the distribution of returns. When starting a higher...

This paper proposes a new approach for enriching results for U.S. labor markets from the leading multi-regional CGE model, the GTAP model. Departing from the usual approach of expanding labor data in all economies in a model's database, our method expands only the U.S. labor data. Additionally,...

Price and liquidity puzzles have been identified as two major counterintuitive findings arising from monetary shocks. We investigate their presence in eleven African countries, using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model designed for indebted small open-economies. Our simulations reveal...

In actual economies, players sometimes would offer an upper limiter to their output due to capacity constraints, financial constraints and cautious response to uncertainty in the world, or offer a lower limiter to their output due to economies of scale or break-even consideration. In this paper,...

This paper sets up a spatial dynamic CGE framework by combining the optimal growth model of saving and investment under adjustment costs and the spatial CGE model with Dixit–Stiglitz structure in the modern sector. Because of increasing product diversity on the dynamic equilibrium path, the...

South Africa has the highest UNAIDS HIV severity rating: “generalised pandemic”. A country with this classification requires public health interventions aimed at the general population. This paper investigates the efficacy of one such policy, examining the national economic effects of an...

In a one-sector neoclassical dynamic economic growth model, a reasonable ratio of investment to consumption exists, i.e., the “Golden Rule of Consumption”. This study is to extend one-sector neoclassical growth model to a multi-sector one. It is assumed that both the production function and...