The Glick and Rogoff (1995) hypothesis suggests that common or global shocks do not influence current accounts of countries which are symmetric. This is tested for 37 pairs of current account imbalances out of 17 OECD countries. Using time series data that spans the pre-Global crisis period but...

This paper provides a summary of the OECD's new global macroeconometric model, including an overview of model structure and a selection of simulations illustrating its main properties. Compared with its predecessors, the new model is more compact and regionally aggregated, but gives more weight...

We develop a 4-region macroeconomic model of the euro area and the world economy. The model (EAGLE, Euro Area and Global Economy model) is microfounded and designed for conducting quantitative policy analysis of macroeconomic interdependence across regions in the euro area and between the euro...

It is commonly understood that macroeconomic shocks influence commodity prices and that one channel for this is the link between interest rates, expected future asset returns and stock-holding. In this paper the link is extended to the petroleum market with the recognition that recorded stocks...

We study the contagion effects of a U.S. housing shock on OECD countries over the period of the subprime crisis. Considering a large database containing national macroeconomic, financial, and trade dynamic variables for 17 OECD countries, we evaluate forecasting accuracy, and perform a...

Chen (2011) [Are current account deficits really sustainable in the G-7 countries? Japan and the World Economy, 23(3), 190–201.] examines whether or not the current account deficits of the US can be characterized by a unit root process with regime switching (MS-ADF). In this paper, we find...

In the wake of the recent currency turmoil, the determinants of financial crises have come to the forefront of academic and policy debates. Applied to the MENA region, the objective of this article is to estimate the likely impact of the dynamics of liberalization on the financial stability. The...

In this paper we investigate the real interest parity hypothesis for ten post-Soviet transition countries with respect to Russia, the USA and Germany. For this purpose, we employ conventional linear unit root tests as well as a nonlinear unit root test developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003) to...