Showing 1 - 10 of 178
In this paper, we propose a temporal disaggregation model with regime switches to disaggregate U.S. quarterly GDP into monthly figures. Alternative to the existing literature, our model is able to capture the nonlinear behaviors of both aggregated and disaggregated output series as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573336
due to nominal rigidities, drives the dynamics of inflation relative to expected inflation and lagged inflation. This … paper exploits the empirical success of the New Keynesian Phillips curve in explaining China's inflation dynamics with a new …, based on a multivariate dynamic model featuring distinct interactions among inflation, money, and real output in China. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577098
relationship, and 2) using inflation as an additional explanatory variable. By implementing a well structured estimation strategy …, we found that after taking the level shift into account, a cointegrating equation, including inflation, exists and is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597501
This paper constructs a quarterly series of GDP deflator inflation for China from 1979 to 2009 and tests for a … structural break with an unknown change point in the dynamic inflation process. Empirical results suggest a significant … structural change in inflation persistence. Employing a counterfactual simulation method, we show that the structural change is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573373
requirement ratio on time (demand) deposits, ceteris paribus, is only higher inflation. Finally, we establish that a 100bps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577089
This paper contributes to the ongoing discussion about the endogeneity of money supply by empirically investigating the GCC countries. We propose and implement a direct test of money supply endogeneity that depends on econometric specification of exogeneity which has not been used in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573267
According to the growing “Google econometrics” literature, Google queries may help predict economic activity. The aim of our paper is to test whether these data can enhance predictions of youth unemployment in France.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048762
This paper considers movements of Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in Turkey, and therefore, to understand the dynamics of FDI, runs several nonlinear FDI equations in which the basic determinants of FDI in Turkey are determined through Markov Regime-Switching Models (MSMs). The statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048930
This paper investigates the half-life of real exchange rates after taking into account the impact of home bias. Empirical results indicate that the half-life of real exchange rates is in the range of 1.5 to 2years for four out of five countries after controlling the impact of home bias. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573295
This paper studies the relationship between oil prices and US dollar exchange rates using wavelet multi-resolution analysis. We characterized the oil price–exchange rate relationship for different timescales in an attempt to disentangle the possible existence of contagion and interdependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664397