Showing 1 - 10 of 175
This paper studies the relationship between oil prices and US dollar exchange rates using wavelet multi-resolution analysis. We characterized the oil price–exchange rate relationship for different timescales in an attempt to disentangle the possible existence of contagion and interdependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664397
In recent years the Chinese stock market has experienced an astonishing growth and unprecedented development, but is also viewed as one of the most volatile markets, which has been called by many observers a “casino”. This study intends to examine the presence of heteroskedasticity and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048914
This paper provides a set of empirical evidence from five Northern Mediterranean countries that are subject to similar refinery reference prices regarding the relative sensitivity of crude oil prices and exchange rate on (pre-tax) petroleum product prices. The empirical evidence reveals that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010931042
Global oil price shock waves and continuous trade imbalance have raised serious alarms among the policy makers around the world, because of its aggressive impacts for the net oil‐importing economies. The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of rising oil prices on the trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048775
This paper examines the dynamics of volatility transmission between EU emission allowances (EUA) and oil markets using a range-based volatility measure. We propose a multivariate conditional autoregressive range model with bivariate lognormal distribution to capture volatility dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729837
Most studies on equilibrium exchange rates focus on a limited number of G7 countries. But in a situation of world imbalances, emerging countries can no longer be excluded. The study of all equilibrium exchange rates is delicate. First, the trade model has to be balanced at the aggregate level....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048861
Reverse shooting of the exchange rate has been put forward in this paper by scrutinizing the adjustment and evolution of the exchange rate towards its new long-run equilibrium level following a change in money supply. Joint and sequential effects of covered interest rate parity and the sticky...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738013
The increasing interest aroused by more advanced forecasting techniques, together with the requirement for more … evaluate the forecasting performance of neural modelling relative to that of time series methods at a regional level … compare the forecasting performance of linear models to that of nonlinear alternative approaches. Pre-processed official …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729816
In this study we investigate the yield curve forecasting performance of Dynamic Nelson–Siegel Model (DNS), affine term … variables in forecasting the yield curve. We have reached numbers of important results: 1—Macroeconomic variables are very … useful in forecasting the yield curve. 2—The forecasting performances of the models depend on the period under review. 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048868
According to the growing “Google econometrics” literature, Google queries may help predict economic activity. The aim of our paper is to test whether these data can enhance predictions of youth unemployment in France.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048762