This paper provides a summary of the OECD's new global macroeconometric model, including an overview of model structure and a selection of simulations illustrating its main properties. Compared with its predecessors, the new model is more compact and regionally aggregated, but gives more weight...

We develop a 4-region macroeconomic model of the euro area and the world economy. The model (EAGLE, Euro Area and Global Economy model) is microfounded and designed for conducting quantitative policy analysis of macroeconomic interdependence across regions in the euro area and between the euro...

It is commonly understood that macroeconomic shocks influence commodity prices and that one channel for this is the link between interest rates, expected future asset returns and stock-holding. In this paper the link is extended to the petroleum market with the recognition that recorded stocks...

We study the contagion effects of a U.S. housing shock on OECD countries over the period of the subprime crisis. Considering a large database containing national macroeconomic, financial, and trade dynamic variables for 17 OECD countries, we evaluate forecasting accuracy, and perform a...

This study applies Panel SURKSS test with a Fourier function to investigate the properties of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) in fifteen Latin American countries over the period of December 1994 to February 2010. The empirical results from the univariate unit root and panel-based unit...

In this paper, we intend to develop a new unit root testing procedure. The novelty of this methodology includes (1) accommodating possible trend breaks of unknown number, unknown dates, and unknown form by employing the Fourier form without directly estimating such breaks; (2) considering...

As the Chinese economy becomes more open and the authorities scrapped the peg to the U.S. dollar in July 2005, exchange rate movements start to influence the price inflation in China in a significant way. This paper estimates a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model to investigate the...

Reverse shooting of the exchange rate has been put forward in this paper by scrutinizing the adjustment and evolution of the exchange rate towards its new long-run equilibrium level following a change in money supply. Joint and sequential effects of covered interest rate parity and the sticky...

Currency misalignments have been one of the focal points of interest in the literature devoted to the CFA Franc zone. Less attention has been paid, however, to the convergence process of real exchange rates towards equilibrium. In this paper, we analyze the short-run dynamics of real exchange...

The present study investigates possible existence of time varying risk premia in Brazilian real, Chinese yuan; Cypriot pound, Danish krone, Eurozone euro, French franc, Indian rupee, Japanese yen, Pakistani rupee, and British pound forward foreign exchange rates against US dollar. Exchange rates...