This paper analyzes Germany’s unusual labor market experience during the Great Recession. We estimate a general equilibrium model with a detailed labor market block for post-unification Germany. This allows us to disentangle the role of institutions (short-time work, government spending rules)...

The paper presents a small macro model for Pakistan economy focusing the impact of investment in human capital on the key macroeconomic variables. The demand side is modeled along the Keynesian lines while the supply side is modeled as per neoclassical theory of production. This framework allows...

This study attempts to infer the length of aggregate time-to-build period by estimating DSGE models with different investment lags and comparing their fits to the data. The models considered in this study use two, four, six, and eight quarters of investment lags. The Bayesian estimation result...

Rational expectations has been the dominant way to model expectations, but the literature has quickly moved to a more realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form their expectations. A standard assumption is that...

According to the growing “Google econometrics” literature, Google queries may help predict economic activity. The aim of our paper is to test whether these data can enhance predictions of youth unemployment in France.

The Chinese economic development affects GDP growth and inflation in the advanced countries. The size of the effects is inferred from multivariate time series and structural econometric methods. In particular, the GVAR and the NiGEM are employed to examine the interdependencies between the...

This paper develops a medium-scale dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium (DSGE) model for fiscal policy simulations. Relative to existing models of this type, our model incorporates two important features. First, we consider a two-country monetary union structure, which makes it well suited...

This paper reassesses the ‘stylised facts’ of Australia's contemporary business cycle, by calculating select moments of the cyclical components in quarterly postwar macroeconomic data. In particular, the robustness of the cross-correlation sample moments to the detrending procedure are...

Endogenous separation matching models have the shortcoming that they are barely able to replicate the Beveridge curve (i.e. the negative correlation between unemployment and vacancies) and business cycle statistics jointly. This paper builds upon the sectoral shock literature and combines its...

This paper deals with the estimation of state changes in system descriptions for dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) by using a genetic procedure and particle filters (PFs). We extend the DBN scheme to more general cases with unknown Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) and state changes. First, we...