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The Houston economy went from boom to bust to recovery during the 1980s. Expectations of oil prices at $50 per barrel and higher in the late 70s and early 80s stimulated hundreds of oil-related projects in the area. An oil-price decline, however, led the Houston economy into a sharp recession...
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In this article, Evan F. Koenig demonstrates that the Federal Reserve Board's initial estimate of manufacturing capacity utilization is helpful in predicting subsequent growth in manufacturing output. Together with lagged real-time output growth and growth in the composite index of leading...
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When economists are concerned that the economy may be about to change direction, one of the indicators to which they give special scrutiny is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), released monthly by the Institute for Supply Management. This article discusses the construction and...
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In 1987, Texas exported $25 billion worth of merchandise to foreign countries. Twenty-six percent, or $6.5 billion, of … those exports went south to Mexico. By 1994, Texas merchandise exports to Mexico had grown to more than $18.5 billion per … year (in 1987 constant dollars). Texas merchandise exports to Mexico (in real terms) have grown more than 10 percent a year …
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In this article, Keith R. Phillips revises the Texas index of leading economic indicators that he introduced two years … Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas has produced the Texas leading index monthly since July 1988. ; Using a newly developed … technique for evaluating leading indexes, Phillips finds that the revised Texas leading index has performed well in predicting …
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