By utilizing the wavelet analysis, investigating the co-movement of exchange rate and oil price differentials in the time-frequency space, in Bangladesh, using monthly data from 1975M7 to 2011M12, happens to be the objective of this paper. The co-movement is studied both in the time and...

This paper sets up a common unobserved factor model with smooth transition autoregressive dynamics. This model is compared to the already classical common factor model with regime-switching. Both models' in-sample and out-of-sample performance in terms of capturing and predicting the business...

This paper sets up a common unobserved factor model with smooth transition autoregressive dynamics. This model is compared to the already classical common factor model with regime-switching. Both models' in-sample and out-of-sample performance in terms of capturing and predicting the business...

The aim of this paper is to assess the importance of RBC models with endogenous growth in characterizing the observed output dynamics. In particular, this article considers a stochastic version of Lucas' (1988) model in the absence of externalities in discrete time with two modifications: agents...

A class of structural time series models with an asymmetric cyclical component is presented and used in order to test for asymmetry in economic time series. The asymmetric cycle is defined as a sine-cosine wave where the frequency of the cycle depends on past observations of the stochastic...

We test for and model nonlinearity of the reduced-form U.S. Phillips curve using the smooth transition regression (STR) framework. We find evidence of two regimes: a “high inflation regime†associated with fast rising food and energy prices and a “low inflation regimeâ€...

Many central bankers have made monetary policy decisions by focusing on core inflation data that exclude food and energy prices from overall inflation. In this paper, estimation results from multivariate GARCH models show that food prices not only help forecast future core inflation, but their...

The aim of this paper is to assess the importance of RBC models with endogenous growth in characterizing the observed output dynamics. In particular, this article considers a stochastic version of Lucas' (1988) model in the absence of externalities in discrete time with two modifications: agents...

A class of structural time series models with an asymmetric cyclical component is presented and used in order to test for asymmetry in economic time series. The asymmetric cycle is defined as a sine-cosine wave where the frequency of the cycle depends on past observations of the stochastic...

This paper sets up a common unobserved factor model with smooth transition autoregressive dynamics. This model is compared to the already classical common factor model with regime-switching. Both models' in-sample and out-of-sample performance in terms of capturing and predicting the business...