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The relative efficiency of financial markets can be evaluated using algorithmic complexity theory. Using this approach we detect decreases in efficiency rates of the major stocks listed on the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643980
Nontraded inputs account for the lion's share of a Big Mac price (Ong 1997, Parsley and Wei 2003). Major departures from Big Mac PPP may then be explained by the Balassa-Samuelson income differences effect, as shown e.g. by Click (1996). But it has been argued that Click''s result is not robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005416845
Financial economists usually assess market efficiency in absolute terms. This is a shortcoming. One way of dealing with the relative efficiency of markets is to resort to the efficiency interpretation provided by algorithmic complexity theory. This paper employs such an approach in order to rank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005416916
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008556116
We revisit the issue of comovements of emerging and developed stockmarkets, and provide a simultaneous treatment of data for the eighties and nineties. We show that while emerging markets experience greater instability in the long term than their developed counterparts, there is room for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835736
Price changes of the Chinese yuan/US dollar rate are found to display a Sierpinski triangle in an Iterative Function System clumpiness test. This fractal structure commonly emerges in “the chaos game”, where randomness coexists with deterministic rules. We show that a threshold model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835871
We detected bubbles in 22 emerging stockmarkets using both standard and threshold cointegration. Eighteen stockmarkets experienced explosive bubbles (and some of them periodically collapsing bubbles as well). The remaining four markets experienced periodically collapsing bubbles only.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835905
We find evidence of weak informational efficiency in the Brazilian daily foreign exchange market using Hurst exponents (Hurst 1951, 1955, Feder 1988), which offer an alternative (from statistical physics) to traditional econometric gauges. We show that a trend toward efficiency has been reverted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835999
The strong Brazilian currency between 1994 and 1998 led Brazilians to an unprecedented increase in their travels abroad. Even after the 1999 currency crisis, travel patterns did not recover to their pre-exchange rate devaluation levels. The occasional exchange rate valuation has left...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010836332
We find evidence of weak informational efficiency in the Brazilian daily foreign exchange market using Hurst exponents (Hurst 1951, 1955, Feder 1988), which offer an alternative (from statistical physics) to traditional econometric gauges. We show that a trend toward efficiency has been reverted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094549