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Reaching a decision on the policy interest-rate often requires members of a monetary policy committee (MPC) to form a consensus. To model this phenomenon, a formal deliberation mechanism that captures how committee members achieve consensus à la Morris DeGroot (1974) is employed. Numerical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010786404
This note reassesses the basic result in Mukhopadhaya (2003) that, when jurors may acquire costly signals about a defendant's guilt, with a larger jury size the probability of reaching a correct verdict may in fact fall, contrary to the Condorcet Jury Theorem. We show that if the jurors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010629549
This note reassesses the basic result in Mukhopadhaya (2003) that, when jurors may acquire costly signals about a defendant's guilt, with a larger jury size the probability of reaching a correct verdict may in fact fall, contrary to the Condorcet Jury Theorem. We show that if the jurors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005110804