Bubbles, such as money, cannot be valued in efficient equilibria in overlapping generations models (a borderline case aside). Analysts frequently attribute this result to the fact that if bubbles were valued, the bubble must eventually exceed the endowment of the young. This implies negative...

Bubbles, such as money, cannot be valued in efficient equilibria in overlapping generations models (a borderline case aside). Analysts frequently attribute this result to the fact that if bubbles were valued, the bubble must eventually exceed the endowment of the young. This implies negative...

One feature that potentially makes the Fama-French (FF) three-factor model less appealing than the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is the complexity of the FF model versus simplicity of the CAPM. This motivates us to construct simple benchmarks for FF factors in Japanese market by using four...

Using a unique dataset from the Taiwan Futures Exchange, this paper investigates whether trading imbalances by foreign investors affect emerging Taiwan futures market in terms of returns and volatility. First, this evidence demonstrates a positive relation between contemporaneous futures returns...

This note reexamines Abreu and Brunnermeier's (2003) analysis of a bubble that persists towards synchronization risk. We find that a certain condition that usually does not hold is required for the existence of synchronization risk.

This paper studies the profitability of the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) trading rule under three different crossing rules: the MACD zero line, the 9-day and 14-day signal lines. It is found that the trading rules perform well in the stock markets of Germany and Hong Kong. Our...

Distinct parametric models in continuous time for the interest rates are tested by means of a comparative analysis of the implied parametric and nonparametric densities. In this research the statistic developed by Ait-Sahalia (1996a) has been applied to the Mexican CETES (28 days) interest rate...

We derive super-replicating bounds on European option prices when the underlying asset is illiquid. Illiquidity is taken as the impossibility of transacting the underlying asset at some points in time, generating market incompleteness. We conclude that option price bounds follow a Black-Scholes...

This article employs the lag-augmented VAR (LA-VAR) approach developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) to analyze the transmission of stock indices among the European PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain), Germany and the UK before and during the European sovereign debt crisis. The...

Based on the robust cross-correlation function approach developed by Hong (2001),　this paper investigates the causality-in-mean and the causality-in-variance of long-term bond yields in seven countries including “PIIGS†(Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain), Germany, and...