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We examine how Bank of Canada communications and media reporting on them impacts Canadian bond and stock market returns. Official communications exert a relatively larger influence on the bond market, whereas media coverage is more relevant for the stock market.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010572174
We analyze the influence of US monetary policy on commodity price volatility. Expected target rate changes and communications decrease volatility, whereas target rate surprises and unorthodox measures increase it. The “calming” effect of communication is reduced during the financial crisis.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041671
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In this research I examined a calendar anomaly that occurs at the beginning of each quarter. Through an examination of 34 years of daily and annual returns for the S&P500 and 13 years of returns for popular ETFs, I have demonstrated the existence of the First Day of Quarter (FDQ) effect. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041761
We examine the short-selling in the Hong Kong stock market and find that, after the lift of short-sales constraint, the R2 increases, contradicting the traditional wisdom that R2 is a proxy of price inefficiency. Moreover, the change of R2 is from the decrease in idiosyncratic volatility.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116201
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This article examines the magnitude of stock market reactions to European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy announcements. Since the introduction of the ECB, declining absolute abnormal returns have been compatible with the theory that stock markets learn from ECB monetary policy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678835
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We quantify the impact of explicit FOMC policy rate guidance announcements at the zero lower bound on Eurodollar interest rate futures. We find that they significantly reduced implied interest rates and led to a flattening of the yield curve.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709101
Quarterly central bank projections regarding future interest rate decisions may become stale when new information enters the market. Using data from New Zealand, we find the predicted time-varying and state-dependent effects of interest rate projections on market expectations and uncertainty.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930734