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Pari-mutuel odds for longshots in UK horseraces exceed those offered by bookmakers. This effect is less for winning compared to losing horses and is explained by informed gamblers betting disproportionately with the pari-mutuel on winning horses.
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We revisit the forward premium puzzle in the interwar period and find that, as the deviation from covered interest rate parity increases, the coefficient on the forward premium in the standard Fama regression tends towards zero.
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