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Recently the idea that business cycles can be driven purely by anticipated developments in the economy—so-called news shocks—has been usefully revived. In this note news shocks are investigated in the context of monetary policy rules designed to mitigate their effects.
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The proposal by Walsh (2003) that policy should include a speed limit by having the change in the output gap as an additional term in a Taylor-type rule is shown to be exactly optimal given an appropriate parameterization.
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The aim of this paper is to consider multivariate stochastic volatility models for large dimensional datasets. We suggest the use of the principal component methodology of Stock and Watson [Stock, J.H., Watson, M.W., 2002. Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indices. Journal of Business...
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