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Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?

Sinclair, Tara M.; Joutz, Fred; Stekler, H.O. - In: Economics Letters 108 (2010) 1, pp. 28-32

We show that systematic forecast errors reveal that the Fed is "surprised" by real and inflationary cycles. The Fed knows the state of the economy for the current quarter, but cannot predict it one-quarter ahead.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008494894

Forecasts of construction activity for states

Thomas, R. William; Stekler, H. O. - In: Economics Letters 4 (1979) 2, pp. 195-199

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005355944

The term spread as a monthly cyclical indicator: an evaluation

Boulier, Bryan L.; Stekler, H. O. - In: Economics Letters 66 (2000) 1, pp. 79-83

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005158852

Employment impact of public construction

Stekler, H. O.; Thomas, R. William - In: Economics Letters 7 (1981) 3, pp. 295-299

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005158874

Data revisions in the U.S. international transactions statistics

Stekler, L. E.; Stekler, H. O. - In: Economics Letters 4 (1979) 1, pp. 45-49

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005158997

Forecasts of a regional construction model : An evaluation

Stekler, H. O.; Thomas, R. William - In: Economics Letters 6 (1980) 4, pp. 387-392

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005288204