In this paper, we quantify the dynamics of absolute excess returns on stock markets depending on three factors: the average of the absolute excess return, the level of the stock price, and stock market volatility. We also argue that the absolute excess return can be regarded as an empirical...

VAR models with common cyclical features imply parsimonious univariate final equations, justifying the use of both time series aggregation, and homogenous panels with common factors and dynamic heterogeneity. However, conducting statistical inferences based on too restrictive models might be...