Showing 1 - 10 of 113
. We explore the possibility of forecasting RV with factor analysis; once considering the significant jumps. A real high …There is a growing literature on the realized volatility (RV) forecasting of asset returns using high-frequency data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678826
This article tests the linearity assumption underlying the popular heterogeneous autoregressive model for realized volatility (HAR-RV). We implement a consistent model specification test that is robust to both distributional and model misspecification. We find that, using a nonparametric HAR-RV...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939493
This paper is the first to employ a multivariate extension of the LHAR–CJ model for realized volatility of Corsi and Renó (2012) considering continuous and jump volatility components and leverage effects. The model is applied to financial (S&P 500), commodity (WTI crude oil) and forex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041795
While theory of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) models is well understood for strictly stationary processes, some recent interest has focused on the nonstationary case. In the classical model including a positive intercept parameter, the volatility process diverges to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263447
In this note it is shown that the expectation of the usual MLE estimator of the mean-reversion parameter in linear diffusion models does not exist. However, the moment does exist conditionally on the estimator of the autoregressive parameter in the discretized model being positive.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678801
This paper proposes a couple of new methods to compute the news impact curve for stochastic volatility (SV) models. The new methods incorporate the joint movement of return and volatility, which has been ignored by the extant literature. The first method employs the Bayesian Markov chain Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665672
A Lagrangian multiplier test is proposed for testing market microstructure noise (MMN) in financial asset prices. The test is very simple and is asymptotically chi-squared with 1-degree of freedom. The test is applied to sampling interval determination for realized volatilities (RVs) which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263403
A CUSUM test is proposed for testing structural breaks in a long-memory heterogeneous autoregressive model. The limiting distribution of the CUSUM test is shown to be a simple function of a standard Brownian bridge, contrasting with the nuisance parameter dependent asymptotics of other CUSUM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729455
In this paper, we consider a model where producers set their prices based on their prediction of the aggregated price level and an exogenous variable, which can be a demand or a cost-push shock. To form their expectations, they use OLS-type econometric learning with bounded memory. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263417
This paper considers the theoretical justifications of Lütkpohl’s (1988) test statistics when the data-generating process is relaxed to be a stationary ARFIMA process. Under suitable regularity conditions, we prove the applicability of Lütkpohl’s (1988) method to the stationary ARFIMA (p,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041841